Hopkins picked up 4,137 more votes than the Liberal candidate in the 2022 provincial election received. (Smith increased his vote count, too, by 2,178).
The Liberal boost came partly from New Democrat supporters, according to Hatton, who said the NDP’s vote “collapsed locally.”
Two-time NDP candidate Jen Deck received 17.2 percent of votes, down by just over four percent from 2022. Deck hasn’t been able to regain the level of support the NDP received in 2018, when the party came in second in this riding with 33.8 percent. (Province-wide the NDP has lost almost a million votes since 2018.)
Last week Deck received 1,716 fewer votes than in 2022.
Where did those votes go? NDP volunteer Benjamin Hickey said while door knocking some NDP supporters said they planned to vote PC this time because they were afraid of changing governments with a Canada-U.S. trade war looming.
He also heard from people who planned to vote strategically for the Liberals because “they were afraid of a Conservative victory.”
Hickey said the NDP should resist calls to cooperate with the Liberals in the next election to defeat the PCs, something one newly re-elected New Democrat MPP said she wants to explore.
Waterloo MPP Catherine Fife told the Waterloo Region Record she isn’t “interested in running in another election against other progressives,” saying it “only benefits” the PCs.
Any kind of cooperation with their Liberal rivals would probably be a hard sell to NDP members. Deck dismissed the idea in an interview with Currents during the campaign, saying “the Liberals don't have a super track record.”
The NDP needs to stay independent and “be extremely active in the community” until the next scheduled election in 2029, Hickey said.
One New Democrat who is open to the possibility of working with the Liberals: former MPP Jenny Carter. Carter, now 93, represented Peterborough at Queen’s Park from 1990 to 1995 — the last New Democrat to do so.
“I think that’s something to be looked into,” she said. “It would certainly be a way of winning, because I think the two votes together would win in most places.”
But she said she wouldn’t support an NDP-Liberal merger because there are “crucial differences” between the parties.
Hatton said the parties “should work together to defeat the Conservatives.” But he said he’s not sure what that could look like. He wouldn’t support standing down Liberal candidates in ridings where the NDP is better poised to beat the PCs, and vice versa, he said.
Meanwhile, Ontario saw voter turnout tick up slightly last week, to 45.4 percent, from a record low of 44 percent in 2022. But as is usually the case, turnout was higher than the provincial average in Peterborough-Kawartha, where 53 percent of eligible voters cast their ballots. |